Outbreak Analytics with R - Training

Dates: Monday 25 November to Friday 29 November 2024 (5 days)

Times: 9:30-12:30 and 14:00 - 17:00

Location: Bray conference room in MRCG, Fajara

Overview:

This week-long in-person training provides a practical introduction to outbreak data analysis using R packages developed by the Epiverse-TRACE initiative.

Course Content (Tentative)

Day 1

  • Introduction to outbreak analytics and “Outbreak Data Challenges”.
  • Why use R packages for epidemic analytics?
  • How to manipulate data and perform visualization in R?

Day 2

  • How do I simulate disease spread using a mathematical model?
  • How do I investigate the effect of interventions on disease trajectories?

Day 3

  • How to clean and standardize case data?
  • How to aggregate and visualize case data?
  • How can I ensure the above tasks are performed in an efficient and reproducible way?

Day 4

  • What are the delay distributions and what is their usage in outbreak analytics?
  • How to access delay distributions from a literature search database?
  • How can I estimate key transmission metrics from a time series of case data?
  • How do I account for incomplete reporting in forecasts?

Day 5

  • How to estimate the case fatality ratio (CFR) and adjust for common biases?
  • How can we estimate individual-level variation in transmission (i.e. superspreading potential)?
  • How can we simulate transmission chains based on infection characteristics?

Timetable (Tentative)

Date and Time Topic
Monday 25 November (9:30 - 12:30) A Refresher on the Basics of R: Objects, Operators, Functions, Arguments, Data Manipulation (read, filter, select, rename & pipe)
Monday 25 November (14:00 - 17:00) Introduction to Outbreak Analytics
Tuesday 26 November (9:30 - 12:30) Simulating Transmission and Modelling Interventions Spread
Tuesday 26 November (14:00 - 17:00) Read, Clean, and Standardize Outbreak Case Data
Wednesday 27 November (9:30 - 12:30) Validate, Aggregate and Visualize Outbreak Case Data
Wednesday 27 November (14:00 - 17:00) Access Epidemiological Parameters
Thursday 28 November (9:30 - 12:30) Estimate Transmission Metrics
Thursday 28 November (14:00 - 17:00) Forecast of Cases and Estimate Outbreak Severity
Friday 29 November (9:30 - 12:30) Presentations on “Outbreak Data Challenges”

Prerequisites

Attendees will be using their own laptops. We expect participants to have some exposure to basic statistical, mathematical and epidemic theory concepts, but NOT necessarily familiarity with analytics or modelling. This training requires you to be familiar with:

  • Data Science: Some basic familiarity with R software
  • Statistics: Familiarity with common probability distributions, such as the Normal, Gamma, Log normal, and Negative binomial distributions.
  • Epidemic Theory: Familiarity with common epidemiological parameters, such as the incubation period, generation time, serial interval, and metrics such as the reproduction number.

Application

Fill out this form to apply for this training. Application deadline is Friday 20th September 2024 Friday 27th September 2024. Places are limited and will be given on a first come, first served basis. There is no registration fee and limited funds are available for travel and local expenses. Application data will be kept confidential and may only be published in aggregated and anonymity form in Epiverse-TRACE outreach reports. If you have questions about the training, please send an email to andree.valle-campos@lshtm.ac.uk or lshad35@lshtm.ac.uk.