Instructor Notes
Instructor notes
Create a short-term forecast
Estimation of outbreak severity
Instructor Note
The periods are relevant: Period 1 – 15 days where CFR is zero to indicate this is due to no reported deaths; Period from Mar 15 – Apr 26 where CFR appears to be rising; Period Apr 30 – May 30 where the CFR estimate stabilises.
Instructor Note
We can showcase this last bias using the concept
described in this {cfr} vignette.